Local Elections - Who Will Win in LBHF on May 7?

LBHF Seats by Ward - Wikipedia

On May 7th we have local council elections, and all 50 seats on our council the London Borough of Hammersmith & Fulham are up for grabs. The question is - who will win?

LBHF has been Labour-run since 2014; Labour currently holds a commanding majority.  At the last election in 2022, Labour won 40 of 50 seats, with the Conservatives taking the remaining 10. Take a peek at the map to the left to see the spread of votes. 

Despite a more difficult national picture for Labour, local projections still suggest the party is likely to retain control in LBHF. 

Pollcheck.co.uk suggests that, while opposition to Labour is strong, the opposition vote is split between the four challenging parties - Conservative, Reform, Lib Dem and Greens. 

Greens

Since 2022, two Labour councillors have defected to the Greens and one former Labour councillor now sits as an independent. 

Reform?

On friday night a well-informed friend (and Labour sup

Prediction at Pollcheck.co.uk

porter) suggested over a pint at the Shepherd's Bush Cricket Club bar that Reform could well win.  And indeed, LBHF Council leader Steven Cowan's alarmist election videos also suggest that he fears a Reform-led council.  

However, it is hard to find evidence that Reform is ahead in the polls. Anyone who disagrees - please post below. Perhaps we are not searching hard enough for data.  

Labour Win?
The safest prediction? Labour remains the favourite to hold the council — though perhaps with a slightly slimmer majority and a noisier opposition than before.